Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.041231 0.047787 0.054544 0.061995 0.069947 0.078150 0.087222
2025-10-26 0.030685 0.040070 0.050299 0.062114 0.075240 0.089251 0.105217
2025-11-02 0.024460 0.035510 0.048133 0.063249 0.080539 0.099430 0.121382
2025-11-09 0.019465 0.031425 0.045715 0.063385 0.084097 0.107157 0.134364
2025-11-16 0.014556 0.026637 0.041820 0.061234 0.084549 0.110976 0.142597
2025-11-23 0.010753 0.022646 0.038412 0.059244 0.084833 0.114309 0.150015
2025-11-30 0.008802 0.020883 0.037602 0.060242 0.088508 0.121433 0.161652
2025-12-07 0.007341 0.019594 0.037246 0.061677 0.092605 0.128970 0.173697
2025-12-14 0.006385 0.018932 0.037642 0.063997 0.097725 0.137672 0.187064
2025-12-21 0.005180 0.017627 0.036999 0.064861 0.100968 0.144082 0.197703
2025-12-28 0.005131 0.018380 0.039319 0.069651 0.109127 0.156392 0.215289
2026-01-04 0.003720 0.016279 0.037284 0.068493 0.109707 0.159512 0.221979
2026-01-11 0.002943 0.015318 0.036978 0.069779 0.113557 0.166812 0.233915
2026-01-18 0.002108 0.013967 0.035965 0.070044 0.116092 0.172534 0.244022
2026-01-25 0.001570 0.013128 0.035680 0.071273 0.119840 0.179721 0.255870
2026-02-01 0.001015 0.011935 0.034691 0.071420 0.122118 0.185055 0.265460
2026-02-08 0.000418 0.009958 0.032124 0.069130 0.121064 0.186161 0.269862
2026-02-15 0.000096 0.008241 0.029777 0.067008 0.120126 0.187333 0.274278
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.007703 0.029573 0.068073 0.123453 0.193843 0.285179
2026-03-01 0.000001 0.007347 0.029688 0.069602 0.127399 0.201128 0.297023
2026-03-08 NaN 0.007298 0.030412 0.072072 0.132629 0.210043 0.310866
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006804 0.030161 0.072992 0.135716 0.216226 0.321354
2026-03-22 NaN 0.007533 0.032544 0.078083 0.144568 0.229764 0.340894